San Francisco Giants vsColorado Rockies Prediction
The Colorado Rockies are 40-34 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 30-41 on the road this season. The Rockies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rockies' starter Jose Urena is forecasted to have a better game than Giants' starter John Brebbia. Jose Urena has a 35% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while John Brebbia has a 29% chance of a QS. If Jose Urena has a quality start the Rockies has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.4 and he has a 8% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rockies win 71%. In John Brebbia quality starts the Giants win 71%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is C.J. Cron who averaged 2.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Joc Pederson who averaged 2.64 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 56% chance of winning.