San Diego Padres vs

Colorado Rockies Prediction

The San Diego Padres are 9-4 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 10-8 at home. The Padres have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres' starter Dinelson Lamet is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies' starter Antonio Senzatela. Dinelson Lamet has a 28% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Antonio Senzatela has a 15% chance of a QS. If Dinelson Lamet has a quality start the Padres has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.1 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 72%. In Antonio Senzatela quality starts the Rockies win 53%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Trevor Story who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 41% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Javier Guerra who averaged 3.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 85% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 73% chance of winning.