Houston Astros vsColorado Rockies Prediction
The Houston Astros are 6-3 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 4-6 at home. The Astros have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros' starter Jose Urquidy is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies' starter Austin Gomber. Jose Urquidy has a 36% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Austin Gomber has a 27% chance of a QS. If Jose Urquidy has a quality start the Astros has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.6 and he has a 63% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 66%. In Austin Gomber quality starts the Rockies win 54%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Charlie Blackmon who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 46% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 3.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 55% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 76% chance of winning.