Arizona Diamondbacks vsColorado Rockies Prediction
The Colorado Rockies are 2-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 2-4 on the road this season. The Rockies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rockies' starter Jon Gray is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks' starter Merrill Kelly. Jon Gray has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Merrill Kelly has a 23% chance of a QS. If Jon Gray has a quality start the Rockies has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rockies win 65%. In Merrill Kelly quality starts the Diamondbacks win 55%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Ryan McMahon who averaged 2.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 49% chance of winning.