Tampa Bay Rays vs

Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Cleveland Indians are 24-19 at home this season and the Tampa Bay Rays are 27-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Triston McKenzie has a 40% chance of a QS and Ryan Yarbrough a 45% chance. If Triston McKenzie has a quality start the Indians has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Indians win 51%. If Ryan Yarbrough has a quality start the Rays has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 54%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Ji-Man Choi who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 63% chance of winning.