Cincinnati Reds vs

Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Cincinnati Reds are 4-8 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cleveland Indians who are 7-6 at home. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds' starter Tyler Mahle is forecasted to have a better game than Indians' starter Sam Hentges. Tyler Mahle has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sam Hentges has a 17% chance of a QS. If Tyler Mahle has a quality start the Reds has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 67%. In Sam Hentges quality starts the Indians win 65%. He has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 48% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Nick Castellanos who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 74% chance of winning.