Baltimore Orioles vs

Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Cleveland Indians are 15-11 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 11-19 on the road this season. The Indians have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Indians' starter Eli Morgan is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles' starter Jorge Lopez. Eli Morgan has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jorge Lopez has a 31% chance of a QS. If Eli Morgan has a quality start the Indians has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Indians win 69%. In Jorge Lopez quality starts the Orioles win 61%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Trey Mancini who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 51% chance of winning.