Houston Astros vs

Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Houston Astros are 35-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 26-21 at home. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros' starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians' starter Hunter Gaddis. Framber Valdez has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Hunter Gaddis has a 36% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 63%. In Hunter Gaddis quality starts the Guardians win 68%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 70% chance of winning.