Cincinnati Reds vs

Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Cleveland Guardians are 6-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 4-17 on the road this season. The Guardians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians' starter Cal Quantrill is forecasted to have a better game than Reds' starter Tyler Mahle. Cal Quantrill has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Mahle has a 31% chance of a QS. If Cal Quantrill has a quality start the Guardians has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2 and he has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 71%. In Tyler Mahle quality starts the Reds win 55%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Tyler Stephenson who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 50% chance of winning.