San Francisco Giants vsCincinnati Reds Prediction
The Cincinnati Reds are 10-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 8-10 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds' starter Luis Castillo is forecasted to have a better game than Giants' starter Anthony DeSclafani. Luis Castillo has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Anthony DeSclafani has a 32% chance of a QS. If Luis Castillo has a quality start the Reds has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 65%. In Anthony DeSclafani quality starts the Giants win 54%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Nick Castellanos who averaged 2.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Buster Posey who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 49% chance of winning.