Milwaukee Brewers vs

Cincinnati Reds Prediction

The Milwaukee Brewers are 36-41 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 29-43 at home. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers' starter Brandon Woodruff is forecasted to have a better game than Reds' starter Hunter Greene. Brandon Woodruff has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Hunter Greene has a 40% chance of a QS. If Brandon Woodruff has a quality start the Brewers has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 60%. In Hunter Greene quality starts the Reds win 60%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Jake Fraley who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Rowdy Tellez who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 78% chance of winning.