Los Angeles Dodgers vs

Cincinnati Reds Prediction

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 42-31 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 38-35 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Wade Miley has a 39% chance of a QS and Clayton Kershaw a 41% chance. If Wade Miley has a quality start the Reds has a 60% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 51%. If Clayton Kershaw has a quality start the Dodgers has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 60%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Nick Castellanos who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Mookie Betts who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 66% chance of winning.