Chicago Cubs vs

Cincinnati Reds Prediction

The Cincinnati Reds are 5-10 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 10-9 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs' starter Marcus Stroman is forecasted to have a better game than Reds' starter Tyler Mahle. Marcus Stroman has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Mahle has a 41% chance of a QS. If Marcus Stroman has a quality start the Cubs has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 58%. In Tyler Mahle quality starts the Reds win 69%. He has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Tyler Stephenson who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Seiya Suzuki who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 68% chance of winning.