Minnesota Twins vsChicago White Sox Prediction
The Chicago White Sox are 16-10 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Minnesota Twins who are 11-15 on the road this season. The White Sox have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. White Sox' starter Dallas Keuchel is forecasted to have a better game than Twins' starter Kenta Maeda. Dallas Keuchel has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kenta Maeda has a 31% chance of a QS. If Dallas Keuchel has a quality start the White Sox has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the White Sox win 70%. In Kenta Maeda quality starts the Twins win 60%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Jose Abreu who averaged 2.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Nelson Cruz who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 46% chance of winning.