Houston Astros vs

Chicago White Sox Prediction

The Chicago White Sox are 28-29 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 36-23 on the road this season. The White Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. White Sox' starter Johnny Cueto is forecasted to have a better game than Astros' starter Jose Urquidy. Johnny Cueto has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jose Urquidy has a 42% chance of a QS. If Johnny Cueto has a quality start the White Sox has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the White Sox win 59%. In Jose Urquidy quality starts the Astros win 68%. He has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Jose Abreu who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.67 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 60% chance of winning.