Detroit Tigers vsChicago White Sox Prediction
The Chicago White Sox are 25-29 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 18-37 on the road this season. The White Sox have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. White Sox' starter Michael Kopech is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers' starter Daniel Norris. Michael Kopech has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Daniel Norris has a 29% chance of a QS. If Michael Kopech has a quality start the White Sox has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the White Sox win 76%. In Daniel Norris quality starts the Tigers win 52%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 52% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Jose Abreu who averaged 2.7 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 82% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Harold Castro who averaged 1.91 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 42% chance of winning.