Miami Marlins vsChicago Cubs Prediction
The Chicago Cubs are 20-32 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 25-29 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs' starter Justin Steele is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins' starter Trevor Rogers. Justin Steele has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Rogers has a 23% chance of a QS. If Justin Steele has a quality start the Cubs has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 72%. In Trevor Rogers quality starts the Marlins win 53%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Seiya Suzuki who averaged 2.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Garrett Cooper who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 46% chance of winning.