Cincinnati Reds vs

Chicago Cubs Prediction

The Chicago Cubs are 28-17 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 25-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs' starter Kyle Hendricks is forecasted to have a better game than Reds' starter Wade Miley. Kyle Hendricks has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Wade Miley has a 42% chance of a QS. If Kyle Hendricks has a quality start the Cubs has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 56%. In Wade Miley quality starts the Reds win 60%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Nick Castellanos who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 64% chance of winning.