Arizona Diamondbacks vs

Chicago Cubs Prediction

The Chicago Cubs are 6-12 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 8-10 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs' starter Kyle Hendricks is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks' starter Humberto Castellanos. Kyle Hendricks has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Humberto Castellanos has a 25% chance of a QS. If Kyle Hendricks has a quality start the Cubs has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2 and he has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 59%. In Humberto Castellanos quality starts the Diamondbacks win 59%. He has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Ian Happ who averaged 2.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Daulton Varsho who averaged 2.76 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 55% chance of winning.