New York Yankees vsBoston Red Sox Prediction
The Boston Red Sox are 27-29 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Yankees who are 30-26 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox' starter Nathan Eovaldi is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees' starter Domingo German. Nathan Eovaldi has a 36% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Domingo German has a 26% chance of a QS. If Nathan Eovaldi has a quality start the Red Sox has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 58%. In Domingo German quality starts the Yankees win 68%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 57% chance of winning.