New York Yankees vsBoston Red Sox Prediction
The Boston Red Sox are 28-19 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Yankees who are 23-20 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox' starter Tanner Houck is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees' starter Jordan Montgomery. Tanner Houck has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jordan Montgomery has a 40% chance of a QS. If Tanner Houck has a quality start the Red Sox has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 62%. In Jordan Montgomery quality starts the Yankees win 63%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is J.D. Martinez who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is DJ LeMahieu who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 53% chance of winning.