Houston Astros vs

Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Boston Red Sox are 52-32 at home this season and the Houston Astros are 45-38 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Eduardo Rodriguez has a 43% chance of a QS and Jose Urquidy a 42% chance. If Eduardo Rodriguez has a quality start the Red Sox has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 56%. If Jose Urquidy has a quality start the Astros has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 50%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 61% chance of winning.