Houston Astros vsBoston Red Sox Prediction
The Boston Red Sox are 17-15 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 15-13 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Eduardo Rodriguez has a 48% chance of a QS and Zack Greinke a 44% chance. If Eduardo Rodriguez has a quality start the Red Sox has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 59%. If Zack Greinke has a quality start the Astros has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 47%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is J.D. Martinez who averaged 2.73 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 57% chance of winning.