Washington Nationals vs

Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Washington Nationals are 18-25 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 12-30 at home. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. John Means has a 47% chance of a QS and Paolo Espino a 48% chance. If John Means has a quality start the Orioles has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 47%. If Paolo Espino has a quality start the Nationals has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 64%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Cedric Mullins who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 72% chance of winning.