Toronto Blue Jays vsBaltimore Orioles Prediction
The Toronto Blue Jays are 17-18 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 10-21 at home. The Blue Jays have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays' starter Robbie Ray is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles' starter Bruce Zimmermann. Robbie Ray has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bruce Zimmermann has a 22% chance of a QS. If Robbie Ray has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 68%. In Bruce Zimmermann quality starts the Orioles win 64%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Trey Mancini who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 45% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 75% chance of winning.