Texas Rangers vsBaltimore Orioles Prediction
The Baltimore Orioles are 23-51 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 22-56 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles' starter John Means is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers' starter Dane Dunning. John Means has a 64% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dane Dunning has a 40% chance of a QS. If John Means has a quality start the Orioles has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.4 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 66%. In Dane Dunning quality starts the Rangers win 59%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Cedric Mullins who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Willie Calhoun who averaged 1.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 55% chance of winning.