Texas Rangers vs

Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Baltimore Orioles are 18-17 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 19-18 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles' starter Dean Kremer is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers' starter Dane Dunning. Dean Kremer has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dane Dunning has a 47% chance of a QS. If Dean Kremer has a quality start the Orioles has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 65%. In Dane Dunning quality starts the Rangers win 64%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Austin Hays who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Jonah Heim who averaged 1.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 59% chance of winning.