Seattle Mariners vsBaltimore Orioles Prediction
The Baltimore Orioles are 1-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 3-2 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Matt Harvey has a 31% chance of a QS and Marco Gonzales a 30% chance. If Matt Harvey has a quality start the Orioles has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 62%. If Marco Gonzales has a quality start the Mariners has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Cedric Mullins who averaged 3.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Kyle Lewis who averaged 2.77 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 54% chance of winning.