New York Yankees vsBaltimore Orioles Prediction
The New York Yankees are 39-32 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 21-49 at home. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees' starter Gerrit Cole is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles' starter Alexander Wells. Gerrit Cole has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Alexander Wells has a 22% chance of a QS. If Gerrit Cole has a quality start the Yankees has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.7 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 77%. In Alexander Wells quality starts the Orioles win 58%. He has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Cedric Mullins who averaged 1.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 37% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 83% chance of winning.