Philadelphia Phillies vs

Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Atlanta Braves are 10-12 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 9-9 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves' starter Max Fried is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies' starter Kyle Gibson. Max Fried has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Gibson has a 45% chance of a QS. If Max Fried has a quality start the Braves has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.8 and he has a 55% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 58%. In Kyle Gibson quality starts the Phillies win 68%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 62% chance of winning.