Houston Astros vs

Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Houston Astros are 47-40 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 48-37 at home. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tucker Davidson has a 33% chance of a QS and Framber Valdez a 34% chance. If Tucker Davidson has a quality start the Braves has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 51%. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 69% chance of winning.