2022 Shriners Children’s Open Model Picks & Sleepers

2022 SHRINERS CHILDREN’S OPEN INFO

TOURNAMENT: Shriners Children’s Open

DATES: October 6-9, 2022

LOCATION: TPC Summerlin (Las Vegas, Nevada)

PURSE: $8M | PAR: 71 | YARDAGE: 7,250

THE FAVORITES (BETMGM)

Patrick Cantlay (+700)

Sungjae Im (+1200)

Aaron Wise (+2000)

Max Homa (+2000)

Tom Kim (+2500)

SHRINERS CHILDREN’S OPEN MODEL PICKS

Our predictive model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous PGA seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below were shopped among our sportsbook partners to identify the best values. Content is free for a limited time. All statistics below were found on PGATour.com. Star ratings are on 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).

PATRICK CANTLAY TO WIN (+700, POINTSBET)

BETQL PROJECTION: +515 ⭐⭐⭐

Cantlay is the clear favorite to win this event across every sportsbook and that’s not a mistake. Ranking 4th in the Official World Golf Ranking, Cantlay has eight career PGA Tour victories under his belt and has a proven ability to go low, something that will come in very handy since this is widely recognized as one of the easiest courses on the schedule. Last season, Cantlay ranked 9th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Total, 5th in Birdie Average, 6th in Scoring Average and 6th in Going For The Green - Birdie Or Better. Cantlay has a complete game and is clearly the best golfer in the field. The model is giving him +515 odds to win the event, which makes the +700 odds you can get on PointsBet a nice bargain. New PointsBet users can bet this risk-free by clicking the button below!

MAVERICK MCNEALY TOP 5 FINISH (+1200, FANDUEL)

BETQL PROJECTION: +356 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

McNealy ranked 19th on Tour in SG: Putting and 5th in Putting Average, which proved he could get hot on the greens, and 18th in Going For The Green - Birdie Or Better last season. In 189 qualified approaches, 122 of them (64.55%) were birdies or better last year. That’s an important metric because this course will allow him to be aggressive and rack up birdies. It’s also worth noting that he lives in Las Vegas (where TPC Summerlin is) with roommate Doug Ghim, who you’ll read about in a few moments. Our model is giving McNealy a +356 chance to finish in the Top 5 which makes the +1200 odds you can find on FanDuel a gigantic value. Best part? You can use this as your no-sweat bet up to $1,000 if you don’t already have a FanDuel account.

DENNY MCCARTHY TOP 10 FINISH (+450, DRAFTKINGS)

BETQL PROJECTION: +180 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Speaking of excellent putters, McCarthy finished last season ranked 2nd in SG: Putting, 5th in Total Putting and 11th in Total Birdies. While he struggled on Par 5 holes, he also ranked 17th in Par 3 Scoring Average (3.01) and 17th in Par 4 Scoring Average (3.98). Our model projects him with +180 odds to finish in the Top 10 this week, which makes the +450 DraftKings odds a steal.

JASON DAY TOP 20 FINISH (+350, DRAFTKINGS)

BETQL PROJECTION: -114 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Yes, the sample size is small, but Day ranks 1st in SG: Approach The Green in the new PGA season, as well as 3rd in Greens In Regulation Percentage after the Fortinet Championship. Despite that, he missed the cut with a 74-73 due to his other deficiencies, but his iron play was certainly a positive and a sign of potential good things to come. We’re projecting him to finish in the Top 20 (-114 odds), but you can still get him at +350 for that finishing position at DraftKings.

DOUG GHIM TOP 40 FINISH (+250, BetMGM)

BETQL PROJECTION: -292 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Maverick McNealy’s roommate lives in Las Vegas and is well-versed in this course and its layout. Our model is giving him -292 odds to finish in the Top 40 this week, which makes his +250 odds on BetMGM a huge value. This is our only five-star bet of the week, so keep that in mind. If you don’t already have a BetMGM account, you can bet this risk-free up to $1,000!

MY PICKS: SHRINERS CHILDREN’S OPEN

MARTIN LAIRD TOP BRITISH/IRISH PLAYER (+500, BETRIVERS)

I always love targeting golfers with proven positive course history and Laird is one of the few I love this week. He won this event in 2021 and 2009 and lost in a playoff in 2010. He made the cut in 10 of 12 appearances at this event, finished T11 here last year and, per PGATour.com, nine of his 44 rounds here have been 65 or better. Finishing that low in over 20% of his rounds played is amazing and I love the value that this specific bet allows you to get since his competition is Seamus Power (+450), Aaron Rai (+450), Callum Tarren (+550), Russell Knox (+600), Matt Wallace (+700), Harry Hall (+900) and Ben Taylor (+900). Bet this risk-free up to $500 if you don’t already have a BetRivers account!

ADAM HADWIN 1ST ROUND LEADER (+7000, CAESARS)

Hadwin has made five or six cuts at this event and had one round of 64 or better in all five of those made cuts. He finished T6 here last year, T4 in 2020 and T10 back in 2015 and has posted low rounds of 63 (twice) on this course before, so getting 70/1 odds on this outcome seems like a great idea. If you don’t already have a Caesars account, you can bet this on them up to $1,250 and get a full refund in free bets if it loses.

MATTHEW NESMITH WIRE TO WIRE (+10000, DRAFTKINGS)

Three tournaments, three cuts made. That’s what NeSmith has done at this event and he’s finished -48 in those 12 rounds. All of his rounds have been in the 60s and he’s finished T14, T8 and T18 in his appearances. At 100/1, I’ll take a shot on that consistency and his potential to lead from Round 1 to the final hole.

HARRY HALL TO WIN (+20000, DRAFTKINGS)

Hall went to UNLV in college and is very familiar with this course. After Rounds 1 and 2 last year, he was only three back and finished T8, so there’s a solid outcome for him to build off of. At 200/1, a $20 bet on Hall to win would pay out $4,020 if he does indeed pull it off. Keep in mind that his odds over on FanDuel are 120/1.