2022 Houston Open PGA Best Bets
Target these finishing positions at Memorial Park Golf Course
Dan Karpuc - Nov 9, 2022, 12:59pm EST
The PGA Tour rolls on to Memorial Park Golf Course for the 2022 Houston Open this week. An $8.4 million purse is up for grabs as some of the best golfers in the world compete for their share. Last week, the model nailed Russell Henley’s Top 10 Finish (+550) when he won the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba. The previous week, Seamus Power’s Top 5 Finish (+500) hit as he won the Bermuda Championship, so we are primed to identify some more valuable edges this week!
Our predictive model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous PGA seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below were shopped among our sportsbook partners to identify the best values. Content is free for a limited time. All statistics below were found on PGATour.com. Star ratings are on 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).
The PGA Tour rolls on to Memorial Park Golf Course for the 2022 Houston Open this week. An $8.4 million purse is up for grabs as some of the best golfers in the world compete for their share. Last week, the model nailed Russell Henley’s Top 10 Finish (+550) when he won the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba. The previous week, Seamus Power’s Top 5 Finish (+500) hit as he won the Bermuda Championship, so we are primed to identify some more valuable edges this week!
Our predictive model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous PGA seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below were shopped among our sportsbook partners to identify the best values. Content is free for a limited time. All statistics below were found on PGATour.com. Star ratings are on 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).
Tony Finau To Win (+1800, BetMGM)
BetQL Projection: +887 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
After a surprising (and unlucky) missed cut at Mayakoba last week, Finau is poised to get back in contention this week in Houston. Penalty strokes limited his upside over 36 holes in his previous tournament, but he made nine birdies and an eagle as well, which provided glimpses of the same golfer that was the hottest in the entire world toward the end of last season. Our model is giving him +887 odds to win this week, which makes his +1800 odds at BetMGM a massive bargain.
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Sam Burns Top 5 Finish (+300, FanDuel)
BetQL Projection: +283 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Burns has made two starts in the new season and finished T30 at the Sanderson Farms Championship and T7 at THE CJ CUP in South Carolina. The 26 year old broke out last year and finished T7 at this event and also finished in the Top 5 seven different times, including three victories. We’re giving him +283 odds to finish in the Top 5 this week, compared to the +300 odds you can find at FanDuel.
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Hideki Matsuyama Top 10 Finish (+250, DraftKings)
BetQL Projection: +157 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Matsuyama has finished T25, T40 and T34 in consecutive events to start the new season but has had some success at this course, posting a T2 finish at his last outing here in 2020. You can find +250 odds on him finishing in the Top 10 at DraftKings right now, but our model is projecting him at +157.
Jason Day Top 20 Finish (+155, FanDuel)
BetQL Projection: +119 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
After a below-average 2021-2022 campaign, it’s been nice to see Day find some success over the past three tournaments. He finished T8, T11 and T21 at the Shriners Children’s Open, THE CJ Cup in South Carolina and the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba and his game is at a solid place once again. We have him at +119 to finish in the Top 20 this week and his odds are at +155 on FanDuel, a solid discount.
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Ryan Palmer Top 30 Finish (+350, FanDuel)
BetQL Projection: -126 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Ryan Palmer has +350 odds to finish in the Top 30 at FanDuel, but our model is projecting this outcome to happen (-126). Palmer ranked 27th in SG: Off-The-Tee last season and finished T27th at this tournament last November.
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Justin Rose Top 40 Finish (+125, FanDuel)
BetQL Projection: -240 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
42 year old Rose posted five Top 40 finishes in his first six events last season, but then fatigue and a back injury derailed him as the year went on. BetQL is giving him -240 odds to place in the Top 40 at thie event and you can still get plus-money on it at FanDuel (+125)!
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