Looking Back At The Top 3 Betting Trends From The Bundesliga Season

Following these trends proved to be very profitable

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Quick-Hitters

  • It wasn’t a typical season for the Bundesliga or any other soccer league in Europe. However, we saw some intriguing betting trends that are important to keep in mind ahead of the 2020-21 season.

  • While it wasn’t always a foregone conclusion, Bayern Munich won the Bundesliga for a record eighth-consecutive season.

  • Not only did Bayern Munich win the league title, but they also became the second team in Bundesliga history to reach 100 goals in one season.

  • Play resumed following an extended hiatus due to the coronavirus pandemic. After the lockdown, home teams only won 33 percent of the time compared to 45 percent before the pandemic forced the league to shut down.

Get all of BetQL's best bets for the upcoming Bundesliga season! Dating back a full calendar year, our five-star (max-value) bets have won 61% of the time!

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Same Old Story

For the most part, it was business as usual for Hans-Dieter Flick and Bayern Munich. The club won the Bundesliga title for the eighth-consecutive season, making them one of the safest bets in sports. To be fair, it wasn’t exactly smooth sailing the whole way through the season.

At the time of the league’s hiatus because of the COVID-19 pandemic, both Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig were in the title race. But Munich won all nine matches after play resumed in May, ultimately winning the league with a 13-point cushion. Naturally, they are heavy favorites to win their ninth title in a row in 2021, currently listed as -560 favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook. Borussia Dortmund (+600) and RB Liepzig (+2000) are the followed favorites.

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Scoring Surge

Not only did Bayern Munich make winning look easy this season, but they also made scoring look easy. For the first time since the 1971-72 season, a Bundesliga team scored at least 100 goals. Munich put 101 balls in the back of the net in 1971-72, including a mere 100 this past season. That’s an average of 2.9 goals scored per game and 16 more total goals than the next-highest team, which was Borussia Dortmund with 84 goals. It was nearly a record-breaking performance by Munich that was led by 34 goals from Robert Lewandowski. Oddly enough, Serge Gnabry, the club’s second-highest scorer, netted just 12 goals in league play.

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Home Play Swayed

When the Bundesliga resumed play in May, it did so without fans in the stands. As expected, this hurt home teams. Prior to the shutdown, Bundesliga teams playing at home won 45 percent of the time. Without fans, that figure dropped to just 33 percent. Home teams also received more yellow cards after the lockdown, moving from 1.7 yellow cards per game to 2.1.

Borussia Dortmund, which is typically known for having one of the most intimidating home stadiums in Europe, only won 2-of-5 games at home following the hiatus. Meanwhile, RB Leipzig recorded one loss and four draws in five home matches across May and June despite finishing third in the Bundesliga this season. At the moment, it’s unclear if fans will be at Bundesliga games during the 2020-21 season, although some clubs are hoping to fill stadiums to 25 percent capacity while following safety guidelines.

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