Consider This Dortmund-Mainz Trend Before Betting On Matchday 32 Moneylines

Dortmund has won their last three matches, but hasn't attracted an overwhelming amount of public bets

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Marco Verch, Flickr

Mainz (9-4-18) at Dortmund (20-6-5)

Wednesday June 17th, 2:30pm EST

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  • Heading into Matchday 32, Borussia Dortmund are second on the Bundesliga table with 66 points and trail Bayern Munich by seven points with three matches to play.

  • BvB clinched their Champions League qualification on Saturday when 19-year-old star striker Erling Haaland netted a late goal at Fortuna Dusseldorf. He has now scored a remarkable 11 goals in 12 Bundesliga games since joining the team in January.

  • Since Bayern can clinch another Bundesliga championship with a victory at Werder Bremen on Tuesday, this game might be essentially meaningless and there has been chatter that suggests Haaland might not see a full workload in the team's remaining contests due to the fact that he's recovering from a nagging knee injury. That is a major storyline that the betting community should follow.

  • In their last three matches, Dortmund has not seen an overwhelming amount of support from public bettors. Check out the table below:

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  • As you can see, when Dortmund was a -323 favorite against Paderborn in Matchday 29, they were backed by just 56% of total public tickets. Final score: 6-1 Dortmund.

  • In Matchday 30, they were -249 favorites against Hertha Berlin and attracted 63% of the total public tickets. Final score: 1-0 Dortmund. On Saturday, they were -249 favorites again, this time against Fortuna, and they saw 63% of total public tickets back them. Final score: 1-0 Dortmund.

  • While the public support might appear to be lower than expected, the upside in betting on the underdog or the draw has been obvious. However, those who have bet on Dortmund as a favorite have cashed their tickets over the last three matches. Find out why having access to public data is so important when betting on soccer.

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Game Preview

Borussia Dortmund have three games left in the schedule and, right now, their main focus seems to be securing the second place in the standings. BVB currently hold that spot with 66 points and are coming off three straight wins following their defeat against Bayern Munich at the end of May. However, Bayern has a seven-point advantage before Round 32 and are just one win away from capturing their 29th Bundesliga title. With that in mind, Dortmund will attempt to tighten their grip in second place of the table. As stated above, Lucien Favre’s men enter this matchup on a three-game winning streak and have gone 11-3-1 at Signal Iduna Park during the current term.

Mainz, on the other hand, have a lot to play for ahead of this contest where they are clear underdogs. They currently sit in 15th place of the standings with 31 points and own a slim three-point edge over both Fortuna Dusseldorf (16th) and Werder Bremen (17th). Putting things in a different perspective, they could end up in relegation zone with a loss here if other results go against them. Mainz shouldn’t have a lot of confidence ahead of this fixture based on how the team has performed of late (they own a 1-1-3 record in their last five games) but their road form has been solid, suffering just one defeat in their past five matches on the road (2-2-1).

Injuries

Borussia Dortmund: Out: Mahmoud Dahoud, Dan-Axel Zagadou, Questionable: Marco Reus, Nico Schulz

Mainz: Out: Edimilson Fernandes, Ji Dong-Won, Stefan Bell, Taiwo Awoniyi, Robin Zentner, Questionable: None

Expected Lineups

Borussia Dortmund: Roman Burki; Lukasz Piszczek, Mats Hummels, Manuel Akanji; Achraf Hakimi, Emre Can, Thomas Delaney, Raphael Guerreiro; Thorgan Hazard, Jadon Sancho; Erling Haaland

Mainz: Florian Muller; Daniel Brosinski, Phillipp Mwene, Moussa Niakhate, Jeremias St. Juste; Leandro Barreiro, Danny Latza, Levin Oztunali, Jean-Paul Boetius, Robin Quaison; Karim Onisiwo

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